Michigan Lottery — Stats Dashboard

Generated 2026-05-14 11:51 · Based on 580 historical draws across 4 games

Jackpot Trend — Major Games

Red dots mark draws where a jackpot was won (next draw reset to ~$20M). The sawtooth pattern is the natural rise-and-reset cycle — jackpots climb each draw until someone wins.

Jackpot Trend — Classic Lotto 47

Plotted on a separate scale because Classic Lotto jackpots ($1M–$30M) are dwarfed by Mega Millions / Powerball ($20M–$1.8B).

Reality Check

Lottery draws are independent random events. Past results carry zero predictive information about future draws. "Hot numbers", "due numbers", and frequency-based picking are gambler's fallacy — every combination has identical odds.

The unpopular-number strategy does NOT improve win odds. Picking numbers like 32+ (above calendar dates) doesn't increase your chance of winning. It only reduces the chance of splitting the jackpot if you happen to win, because fewer people pick those numbers. Same probability of winning, higher expected payout when you do.

Expected-Value analysis is the only mathematically sound input. A ticket is +EV only when (adjusted jackpot ÷ odds) > ticket cost. Adjusted jackpot = advertised × cash-option rate × (1 − tax rate). The EV chart above shows this calculation per historical draw, with positive-EV draws flagged in green. They are extraordinarily rare.

EV math uses: cash option 60% · federal tax 37% · Michigan tax 4.25% · effective net rate 0.3525. Odds shown are advertised game odds; secondary tier prizes ignored for simplicity.

Winning Strategy: The "Money Tinker" Approach

1. The Invisible Haircut
~35% Payout
Advertised $1B = ~$352M in bank after cash-option and taxes.
2. The Break-Even Point
Jackpot Focus
Only play when: (Net Jackpot / Odds) > Ticket Cost.
3. The Shared Split
Unpopular Zone
Use 32+ zone to reduce the risk of splitting the pot with others.

The Verdict: Mathematically, the lottery is a "negative sum game" 99% of the time. This dashboard is designed to identify the 1% of the time where the jackpot grows large enough to offset the astronomical odds. If the status below says "NOT WORTH IT", the math says you are buying $1 of hope for $0.30 of value.